I'd say chances are pretty slim. I don't think we even know how many units they'll be shipping. When the PS3 came out, I was able to get one a week after launch just by calling around local Gamestops at off hours (I realize about a few weeks later, they were pretty easy to find, but for the first week or so, it wasn't that easy and I got one this way). You probably won't get in on the initial shipment, but maybe keep looking during off hours at some of the more unpopular stores in your area. They'll probably get shipments in in the afternoon during the week, so if you have the time to frequent these stores looking for one around then, you might be lucky to get one as they are being put on shelves.